Market
Update
While all data on this page are from
reliable sources and believed to be true, the author or its principal
Agent Royal LePage Salt Spring Realty assumes no responsibility or
liablility for its accuracy. The opinions expressed on this page are
strictly the opinions of the author; they should not be relied
upon.
DATAWIZ©
- Lists of All Listings on Salt Spring Island, including non-MLS.
Victoria & Gulf Islands MLS
Stats
How
did we do in 2009?
2009 was an interesting
year for Real Estate on Salt Spring. Preceded by a quiet period from
June 2008 to about April 2009, it developed into a relatively active
year. Total sales were 188 properties as compared to 172 in 2008.
However, historically, an average "good" year would be about
250 properties sold. The remarkable difference from 2008 is that in
2009 about 65% of all residential non-waterfront detached homes sold
under $500,000 as compared to 38% last year. This is of course easily
explained. With the unprecedented low interest rates, coupled with
lower prices and long amortization periods, many properties once again
became relatively affordable. In this category 117 properties sold
as compared to 100 in 2008. The problem is that such demographic shift
tends to distort the neat science of stats numbers. I.e. the median
sale price value for this sector dropped by 20% from last year (the
average sale price by 17%). The oceanfront SFD homes look even worse,
36% drop in the median sale price and 46% in the average.
So how much did
the market really drop? The general consensus is (when we compare
the same property as to what it would sell in 2009 as compared to
2008) that in the under $500k category the prices likely dropped in
the 10 - 12% range, in the luxury market 15% - 25%. The least expensive
home on the Island sold for $249,000, there were 19 homes that sold
for under $350,000.
On the other side of the scale, the most expensive home sold for $2.6
mil (and guess what, it was not a waterfront!), preceded by 3 waterfront
properties with sale prices between $1.8mil to 1.85mil. Total of 12
properties sold over $1 mil as compared to 17 last year and 18 in
2007.
The forecast?
More than likely year 2010 will bring similar market except with some
prospect of gradual recovery together with increased optimism and
more certainty as to the state of the worlds' economy. The unknown
factor is the possibility of gradual interest rate increase after
mid summer and the implementation of the HST even though it will only
apply to new homes and subdivided land. The Olympics? In my opinion
no net result, up or down.
BMO
May 2009 Housing Report
2009
1st Quarter MARKET UPDATE
(Adapted
from a Driftwood Newspaper contribution by Tom Navratil)
As
Spring slunk its way in 1 month late this year, so did Real Estate
on Salt Spring Island fail to bloom on time. There is actually some
correlation between the two, warm sunshine motivates us to do things
and move ahead.
We saw a significant improvement in sales volume in March from zippo-sales
in January and only a few in February but the quietness of the first
2 months of the year spoiled it for the 1st quarter stats - Salt Spring
Island reported only 15 sales in the first 3 months of the year. For
comparison, in 2008 we sold 52 and in 2007 we sold 59 properties in
the same period. 2007 was an above average year overall, 2008 acted
like a lion in the first 6 months but finished as the lowest in many
years.
Of
the 15 properties sold, one was an oceanfront property (sold for $1.1
mil),
10 properties sold under $500,000 and 4 properties sold above $500k
but below $650k. This year seems to be shaping up already as the year
of sales under $600k.
It
seems that April may bring further improvement. As asking prices continue
to be reduced and interest rates are historically low, Buyers seem
to recognize good values and perhaps a dozen purchases were made in
the first half of April already.
The
Vancouver Sun reported, "Real estate sales bounce back"
(April 3). There were more than 1,000 sales in the Fraser Valley in
March, the first time that level has been reached since July of last
year. However, the sales were still down from March 2008 by 24%. Similarly
in the Vancouver area the sales volume in March jumped up by 53% from
February but it is still down from March 2008 by 24%.
The
benchmark price of a detached single family dwelling in March 2009
in the Greater Vancouver area (extends from Squamish to South Delta
and Pitt Meadows) was $649,342, down about 15% from March 2008.
In
Victoria the market also gained momentum in March. Total of 602 properties
sold in March through the MLS, up by 49% from February. For comparison,
there were 707 sales in March 2008. The Victoria Real Estate Board's
report notes that the total sales in March 2009 were higher than the
March figures during each year from 1995 to 2001, the last "balanced/buyers'"
market we had.
The
prices in Victoria are stable. The six-month average price of a detached
single family dwelling in Victoria proper was $503,598 (median $500,000).
Salt Spring Island's average price in the same category for year 2008
was $623,492 (median $544,500) - this, by the way, is only slightly
lower than the six-month values in the upscale areas of Oak Bay or
the Highlands.
We
are in a balanced with-a-pinch-of-buyers' market.
For
the Sellers, keep your listing shining above others - this includes
the price, presentation, ease of showing and being clear and of good
faith in negotiations when an offer is presented.
For
the Buyers, keep and have your Realtor keep an eye on opportunities
- new listings, price reductions and even sales to be able to compare
values. When you find something, act promptly and in good faith -
there are no giveaways in the market, there are only good values,
better values and lesser values. Yes, it sure is OK trying a lower
offer if it is in some relation to the market value but "lowballing"
recklessly is counterproductive and the majority of Sellers pull away,
no matter what their level of motivation is.
The
year 2008 (January
9, 2009 Driftwood contribution - By Tom Navratil)
LOOK AT THE YEAR
2008 in REAL ESTATE ON SALT SPRING ISLAND
The supposedly
Chinese saying "May you live in interesting times" can sure
take on a new meaning! As we dug ourselves out from the Coast-to-Coast
white Christmas it is time again to look at the Real Estate Stats
on Salt Spring Island and into the Crystal Ball for future trends.
I think everyone
that has any interest in the housing market knows that the volume
of sales dropped dramatically in 2008 nationwide. On Salt Spring Island
there were 172 sales made in 2008. That is about 42% lower than the
previous year which, volume-wise, was a better than average year (the
average sales volume for the past nine years is 256 properties per
year). This is quite similar to what Victoria and Vancouver have been
experiencing. The 1st half of 2008 logged about 65% of all sales for
the year, after that a wait-and-see e-mail must have gone out amongst
all the Buyers since the result was a very slow second half.
But what is quite
astounding is that while asking prices dropped significantly, the
average and median sale prices on the Island rose equally significantly.
In the residential non-waterfront sector, as compared to 2007, both
of these values moved up by 16% and 17% respectively while oceanfront
properties saw the median sale price move up by 20% on a fairly low
volume of 13 oceanfront properties sold. This however has to be viewed
with great caution as it relates more to demographics rather than
to the notion of "rising" market. We are not in a rising
market. Nationally the average sale prices are reported slightly down.
Wondering why
your well priced $375,000 home did not sell last year? Well, in 2007,
55 homes sold under $400,000 which represented 32% of all residential
non-waterfront properties sold. In 2008 only 13 properties under $400,000
sold representing a mere 13% of the same category sold. So while it
is hard to tell what the reasons were, it is easy to see how the odds
were stacked.
On the other side
of the scale 83% of the 12 oceanfront properties sold for over $1
mil, the highest percentage so far. In the non-waterfront sector 7%
of the 100 sold properties were over $1 mil, one percentage point
up from last year.
The least expensive
detached home in 2008 sold for $305,000 while in 2007 ten homes sold
under that price (of which 3 were mobile homes). The least expensive
"non-mobile" home in 2007 sold for $260,000. None of the
figures in this article include Brinkworthy or townhomes.
The highest price
paid for a property on the Island in 2008 was $3,690,000.
Where do we go
from here? Opinions vary but the cautiously optimistic camp seems
to have the majority. Unless the Seller vs. Buyer standoff becomes
a prolong state of affairs we should see some of the sales volume
return this year with continuing stability in the sale prices. More
than ever the precision in pricing and impeccable presentation of
the listed property is of utmost importance if a realistic chance
of a sale is sought. And for the Buyer, now, especially with the even
lower interest rates, the market offers renewed opportunities. Someone
said that the best time to buy Real Estate was ten 10 years ago and
today.
2008
to October 3:
Three
months later ...(from the last update below), and the number of sold
properties increased only to 147 in all categories. It is shaping
up to be a year of very low volume.
(On a really busy year the number of properties sold is around 300
and over, on an average year around 250 and in the slowest year since
1999 only 211 properties were sold (in 2005)).
The
market has been very quiet in the last three months while many
asking prices continued to be reduced to a lot more attractive
levels. There seem to be many Buyers ready to buy but taking their
time to choose. Some waiting for their properties to sell before making
their move.
The
sale prices do not seem to be budging. Instead, many Sellers seem
to pull their listing off the market or simply do not renew after
expiry. This could be a start of a phase of the market where the market
stabilizes and does not progress further in the favour of the Buyer.
It may be that the high number of listings has peaked.
There
is no question, there are some good values out there without the pressure
on the Buyer of having to decide on the spot. Regardless of the worlds'
financial turmoil and the upcoming elections here and in the US, it
seems, at least in the Gulf Islands, that this is a good time to look
and when the right property presents itself, good time to buy.
2008
to June 30:
111 properties sold (as compared to 2007 to June 30: 153, in 2006
to June 30 exactly the same amount as this year: 111)
Of the above 111 properties sold in all categories in 2008 to June
30 63 were residential non-waterfront not counting mobiles on
leased pads and/or townhomes (in 2007 the whole year 171, in 2006
the whole year 128 sold)
10 properties sold at or over $1mil so far (in 2007 the whole year
23 sold at or over $ 1mil and in 2006 the whole year 17 properties
sold at or over $1mil)
The average sale price of residential non-waterfront in 2008 to June
30 is $616,735 ($531,706 in 2007 and $497,973 in 2006 - i.e. 2008
so far is 16% up from 2007 and 24% up from 2006).
This could however change with the balance of the year as the market
is showing signs of resting in the last month or two with a significantly
increased inventory in all categories.
In the oceanfront department, 10 waterfront properties sold in 2008
to June 30 with average sale price of $1,695,900 (in 2007 the whole
year 19 sold with average sale price of $1,384,184, in 2006 the whole
year 14 sold with the average sale price of $1,632,955)
May
2008 - will there be a price correction?
Many
clients are asking whether they should wait with Buying a property
in the Gulf Islands ("until the prices on Salt Spring Island
go down a bit"). Well, Olympics or not, R/E crisis in the US
or not, the indications are that we may not see a noticeable"correction"
(where sale prices go down). By all counts and patterns we should
have had a correction after real estate prices roughly doubled from
2001 to 2005. The "correction" did come, but in form of
a much more modest and measured increase in sale prices - about 7%
per year since 2005 steadily (non waterfront residential sector),
even though in 2006 the volume was extremely low but without negatively
effecting the prices. The market continues to be perky in 2008 so
far.
Having
said that however, there have been many corrections to the ASKING
prices in the last 3 years as the market is much more balanced
(rather than the previous Sellers' market) and "smart" pricing
is almost a must
if the Sellers want to see their properties sold.
The difference
is that in the Gulf Islands and Vancouver Island the market is largely
driven by the demand from Buyers that want to retire or live here,
not by other causes such as for instance the strong economy driven
by oil prices in Alberta.
We could possibly
see some correction in Vancouver, Squamish and Whistler after 2010
but I would be surprised if we had one here on the Gulf Islands, and
if we did, for sure it would not be a significant one (barring catastrophes
of some kind).
January
2008
We
indeed ended up the year 2007 with the anticipated high volume of
sales (total all categories of 297; for comparison the highest volume
ever was 316 in 2003 and the lowest in the last 8 years was in 2006
with only 211 properties sold).
RESIDENTIAL NON_OCEANFRONT: The sale prices (both average and median)
in the residential non-waterfront sector rose by 7.36% (average) and
6.77% (median). In 2007 we sold an all time high record number of
non-waterfront residential properties, 171, representing 57.6% of
all properties sold.
In this non-waterfront residental sector
7 properties sold under $300k
48 properties sold from $300k and $399k
43 properties sold from $400k to $499k
26 properties sold from $500k to $599k
20 properties sold from $600k to $699k
9 properties sold from $700k to $799k
10 properties sold from $800k to $899k
2 properties sold from $900k to $999k
and
6 properties over $1mi
LOTS UNDER 2 ACRES: Vacant land under 2 acres had a rebound in 2007
with volume more than doubling from 2006 to 23 lots (by comparison
over 30 lots were sold in 2003 and 2003 each year and only 10 in 2006)
with the average sale prices up by 22.2% and the median by 15.8%.
OCEANFRONTS: The average and median sale prices of oceanfront properties
had a correction down by 15% after a spectacular jump of 70% last
year from 2005, attributable to changing the type of clients seeking
to buy ocean front properties. In both years though the samples were
relatively low, 14 oceanfront properties sold in 2006 and 19 in 2007
(for comparison 47 in 2001).
OVER $1MIL PROPERTIES: The total number of oceanfront properties (not
including Grace Point) sold in 2007, as already mentioned, was 19,
12 of those were over $1 mil (63%, as compared to 71% in 2006). In
the residential non-waterfront sector 6 properties sold over $1mil
representing 3.5% of all non-waterfront residential properties sold
(as compared to 5% the previous year).
OVERALL $ VOLUME: 2007 had the highest ever $volume of properties
sold, the total of $160,570,150 of real property changed hands on
Salt Spring Island in 2007.
DEMOGRAPHICS: It is hard to pinpoint the Buyer's demographics precisely
but in 2007 we were still getting many from Alberta either for retirement
now or later. In many parts of Alberta the Real Estate market has
slowed down at least in relative terms thus slowing down the Albertans'
potential buying capacity. We are getting fewer Buyers from the US
(as compared to the before 9/11 era when the the Can $ was in its
low to $US), also folks from Vancouver and the Lower Mainland and
a large segment of Buyers were local, still many first time Buyers
and of course many downsizing.
OUTLOOK: The anticipation for 2008 is the continuing moderate sales
price increases with good solid volume, despite of the doom and gloom
south of the border.
January
2007
Here are some
2006 numbers:
When considering
all properties sold in 2006 the number of properties sold was down
15% from last year (33% from 2004) but the median price virtually
unchanged with the average sale price still up 4.62%.
In the residential
non-waterfront sector the average and median sale prices were steady
all year up at about 3% while the number of sales down 18% from 2005
(down 20% from 2003). Total number of properties sold in 2006 was
211 of which residential non-waterfront were 128 and in the oceanfront
sector only 14 properties exchanged ownership (47 in 2003).
Vacant non-waterfront
land under 2 acres posted only 10 properties sold in 2006, compared
to 33 in 2002, average and median sale prices virtually unchanged.
One remarkable
change occurred in the shift of average sale price of oceanfront properties
from $970,522 in 2005 to $1,632,955 in 2006 with a similar jump of
the median price from $765,000 in 2005 to $1,335,000 in 2006. Quite
dramatic and noticeable to say the least. My theory on this is that
(apart from the relatively small sample of only 14 properties sold)
the money that used to buy waterfronts a few years ago ($600k to $900k)
is now buying oceanview properties in the same price range and the
waterfront properties are being sought after by the bigger money that
still seems to be around.
The most expensive
property on Salt Spring sold in 2006 was an oceanfront for $4 mil
and the least expensive a lot for $180,000 and yes, a house on a lot
for $185,000.
The most expensive
non-waterfront residential property was bought for $1.7 mil.
Currently 76%
of all listed waterfront properties are listed over $1 mil and in
the non-waterfront residential listings 14.6% carry the over $1 mil
price tag.
We currently have
143 residential non-waterfront listings as opposed some 85 in January
2004.
Prognosis?
Measured increase
seems to be the buzzword; the interest is there the fundamentals support
a balanced healthy market but with supply exceeding demand it is fairly
certain that it will be a while before we see another significant
price run.
July
2006
Reprint of my article in the Driftwood July 19, 2006:
MYTHS
AND TRUTHS ABOUT SALT SPRING REAL ESTATE
Last week's Peter Vincent's article "Not quite willing to roll
the dice on real estate gamble" was very good; be satisfied with
what you have and concentrate on quality of life rather than losing
sleep over how much one could make in the Real Estate "gold rush".
Just about every article Peter writes is spot on. However, with respect
to the comfortable monetary gains we can claim just by owning a property,
I could not help thinking about the TV commercial "If life was
like that, we would not need a VISA" (or was it MASTERCARD).
The trouble is no matter how much our home appreciates, other Real
Estate keeps up with it. The only way to substantially better our
position would be to downsize or sell our house here and buy in an
area of lower prices, such as Nanaimo, the prairies and most parts
of the Maritimes to name just a few. Costa Rica does not sound bad
either.
So how are we doing on Salt Spring Island with respect to Real Estate?
The 3 different sold signs in a relatively short stretch of Fulford
Ganges Road on the way out of town would make us think that the market
is hot. But many For Sale signs popping up elsewhere may quiet our
minds if we were thinking we were missing something.
This is what the stats show: it can be said that the recent
market activity upturn started in 2001 and, you may be surprised,
technically peaked in the Fall 2003/Spring 2004. In that Fall/Spring
period we had the lowest inventory (around total of 80 residential
non-waterfront listings), the highest number of sales (316 properties
sold in all categories island wide in 2003) and there was Buyer's
panic in the air. Today (2006) we have about 150 residential listings
(almost double) but, to date, only about 100 properties sold. The
market is, at the moment, quiet. If it does not pick up in the second
half of the year, it will be the year with the lowest number of sales
perhaps in a decade - forecasted drop of 37% from the peak in 2003
(the total number of properties sold).
However, the prices tell a different story. The average sale
price of a residential non-waterfront property in 2003 was $355,670,
in 2004 $392,425 and in 2005 $484,737. The median prices, though lower,
show similar trend. Curiously enough the average sale price of a waterfront
property showed a decline of 14% in 2005 from 2004. For the first
time this year (the 1st 6 months) since 2001 the average sale price
of all properties sold showed a slight decline, though the residential
non-waterfront sector posted yet another (relatively insignificant)
gain of 2%. This is where Peter may be disappointed with his yield
at the end of this year.
Stats are boring but this may perk your attention: to sum up, in
the period between 2001 and 2005 the average sale price for non
waterfront residential homes on Salt Spring Island indeed rose 96%,
waterfront properties 120% and vacant lots under 2 acres, brace yourself,
184%.
Today 78% of all current waterfront listings are over $1 mil, and
38% over 2 mil. The most expensive property listed is $5,995,000,
the least expensive is $254,900, there are 4 current residential listings
for under $300k, not counting dwellings on leased pads. In the residential
non-waterfront home sector the average sale price in 2006 to date
was $494,733, the average asking price for these sold properties was
$511,936 - now, the average asking price of the remaining unsold residential
listings is $642,933, about 26% higher than the former.
No market is a static unchanging process, in fact the opposite is
true, every market has cycles and cannot sustain itself in a steady
pace indefinitely, up or down. On Salt Spring Island the market, at
least for the time being, is running out of steam, many Buyers are
unwilling to pay the prices. So they wait or go elsewhere, or never
come in the first place as they easily see the (asking) prices on
the Internet. The rising interest rates do not help. The Buyers are
once again gaining control of the market, it could be said that we
are experiencing a transition from Sellers' to balanced to Buyer's
market. Once again, more so than in a rapidly rising market the key
to successful sale of one's home is precise pricing and flawless presentation.
Reports from many other areas of BC (and in parts of the U.S.) indicate
similar trends.
Is there a bubble and is it going to burst? The answer is NO,
with 99% certainty. There will be (already is) a market adjustment
(a correction) but no repeat of the 80s. In the 80's the consumer
borrowing interest rates shot up to over 20% p.a. and the Real Estate
prices were artificially inflated. Today the market is backed up by
strong fundamentals and the interest rates are regulated by the Bank
of Canada which closely links it to the economy. The climate, the
beauty and the lifestyle of South-western BC, Victoria, Saanich, rural
Vancouver Island, the Sunshine Coast and the Gulf Islands in particular,
will continue to attract baby boomers and zoomers from the rest of
Canada and from abroad. This creates demand which creates an active
market. So in the meantime Peter, keep fighting the bamboo in your
garden for we know for sure, your home will appreciate even more,
empirically it is indeed just a matter of time.
Tom Navratil, Realtor
January
17, 2006
Update:
As compared to 2004, year 2005, with the exception of waterfront properties,
posted further gains in the average and median sale prices on the
Island.
In
the residential non-waterfront sector the average sale price was
up by further 24% ($484,737), with a similar gain of 21% in the median
sale price ($414,000). Dollar volume up by 25% while number of properties
sold up only by 5.41%. 4 year gain in average sale price from the
start of the upswing (2001): 96%.
Oceanfront
properties took a break last year with 20% fewer properties sold
(29), average sale price DOWN 14%, median price almost unchanged and
dollar volume down by 35%. However the gain from 2001 remains high
at 120% (average sale price).
Vacant
land sales were not too active, I suspect for lack of inventory
and high building costs. We sold 10 vacant lots on the Island under
2 acres (as opposed to 11 in 2004), with average sale price pushed
up 32% ($241,300), Median price up $52% ($244,000), dollar volume
by 19%. The total gain by vacant lots since 2001 to 2005 is whopping
184% (average sales price) and by 225% (median sale price). This shows
that once upon a time, not long ago lots were quite cheap!
As
far as comparing all categories together, the number of all
properties sold in 2005 was 247, down 7.5% from 2004; we sold 316
properties in 2003, 297 properties in 2002 and 280 properties in 2001.
As
of today, the least expensive home, single family dwelling currently
listed is asking $219,000; the most expensive single family non-waterfront
home is listed at $1,700,000. The most expensive home on Salt Spring
from all categories currently listed is at $5,995,000 (oceanfront).
Prognosis?
More stable market in 2006 but with further upward pressure on prices.
For complete stat tabulation please e-mail me - available in .pdf
format.
December
01 , 2005
On Salt Spring
Island, very busy summer followed by quiet October and November. However,
with only 238 properties sold in 2005 to date, it appears that year
2005 will be even lower in terms of number of properties sold than
2004 (with total of 267 properties sold, 2003 recorded 316 properties
sold).
In terms of dollar
volume, 2004 was the highest ever
(despite the smaller number of properties sold as compared to
several preceding years) at over $125,000,000.
To date 2005 dollar volume is just over $118,000,000.
This could easily exceed the 2004 value by the end of December.
More info once
we close year 2005! Full stats available upon request.
February
19, 2005
The market has
definitely leveled off. Very quiet Sept/04 to the end of January 2005,
with the exception of December where we had a genuine flurry of sale
activity.
Looking back at
year 2004 on Salt Spring Island, we see that while the residential
sector shows modest changes from 2003 to 2004, sales volume slightly
down, prices slightly up and dollar volume slightly up, in the waterfront
sector the situation is different. Median price up 22% while average
price up by 60% (no doubt influenced by a solid number of high priced
sales over 1 mil). The number of waterfront properties sold is the
same in 2003 and 2004 but the dollar volume is up by whopping 62%.
In the last 3 years the sale prices of residential non-waterfront
sector gained 60% while Waterfronts gained 82%, based on median price.
Overall, counting all sold properties in 2003 and 2004, number of
properties sold is down in 2004 by 16% while overall dollar volume
is up by 10%. Value of properties on Salt Spring, all sectors considered,
is up 58% in the last 3 years, based on median price.
In 2003 we sold 10 waterfront properties over $1 mil, same number
in 2004. However of these in 2003 none were over $2mil, in 2004 six
properties were.
The highest sale price on salt Spring in 2004 was $3,500,000 on Sunset
Drive while the lowest was $45,000 for a unit in Brinkworthy (does
not include land), the lowest price paid where Real Property is included
was $127,000 for a lot.
Outlook? believe the consensus is active but more stable market in
2005, good properties sharply priced continue to sell quickly.
For detailed summary
e-mail me
October
29, 2004
The market has
been VERY, VERY quiet in the last 6 weeks on Salt Spring island following
signs of slowing down throughout the summer. Not surprisingly, as
after the last 4 years of significant price increase a consolidation
period had to come some time. We believe that it is here. Inventory
of rersidential listing is increased, January 2004 we showed 71 listings,
as of today we show 145. Even with seasonal adjustment the difference
is significant. Good news for Buyers but also Sellers, as most Seller
are also Buyers once they sell their property. Please refer to recent
newspaper articles one
and two
June
1, 2004
"When will
the bubble burst?" I am being asked often by clients and curious
onlookers of the current Real Estate market. What do I think? I am
not sure if there is a bubble to burst as in the eighties but the
market may run out of steam soon, to rest for a bit, at least on Salt
Spring Island. As of April 30, 2004, the average asking price of a
single family detached home on Salt Spring Island was approx. 371,000,
sale price $341,000. However, the average asking price of then current
listings was $522,000! Great expectations that the market is often
not ready to meet. In spite of that, however, there are still good
properties to be had at decent prices, however, one has to be patient,
or find and recognize a good deal, and often has to be very quick.
Intrinsically the gulf islands will continue to be in demand for living
as well as recreation, and it is almost certain that we will see continued
upward pressure on prices now and in the future.
January
29, 2004
The final numbers
for year 2003 are in. How did the market do on Salt Spring Island
in 2003? It was up in prices and volume. Some highlights: Average
(as well as median) sale price of residential
non-waterfront up 23%, volume up by 20%. Waterfronts -
average price up by 30.5%, median 14.5%, volume down 5%. Vacant
lots under 2 acres - Average price up by 42% (!!!), median up
by 31%, volume down by 3%. This leaves solid gains in average sale
prices over 40% over the last 24 months in the residential non-waterfront
sector, 37% in waterfronts (but 49% median price).
If you are interested in the entire analysis, please e-mail me.
The outlook?
The majority consensus seems to be that we are in for a bit of a plateau;
the last 2 months were very quiet though now with a few more listings
coming on stream the activity seems to be starting to perk up again.
But who knows, remember places like Whistler where it never seems
to stop going up.
June
30, 2003:
The market is
not crazy but, in my opinion, it continues to hold its own steam with
more and more properties selling at noticable higher prices than "we
are used to" even when the recent significant market improvement
is taken into consideration. The inventory of listings is shrinking
although as of today, we still have approximately 85 non-waterfront
residential, 50 non waterfront vacant land and 40 waterfront listings
(total 175, this compares to total of almost 400 listings at the end
of year 2000, and prior years). Total solds in 2003 to date 151 properties.
Analysis of the
sale prices in the 1st 2 quarters of the year show further gains:
In addition to the sale price increases last year, the average sale
price for residential non-waterfront up 19.73%, median up 21.7%, ask
to sale price ratio 97.1%, up 2.21%. Similarly all waterfronts average
sale price up 26.75%, median price up 19.02%. Sales volumes, as extrapolated
over the rest of the year up 11.94% and up 5.26% respectively.
February
12, 2003:
2002/2003 Prices
are significantly up.
In year 2002,
as compared to 2001, the average price for residential non-waterfront
property up by 16%, median price by 14%. Waterfronts (residential
as well as vacant waterfront lots): median price up by 30% but average
price only by 5%. Volume slightly down on both counts.
Lots under 2 acres:
number of sales up by 22% (33 lots under 2ac sold), average sale price
up by 17%, median price up by 36%!!
Lots between 2
- 10 acres, number of sale up by whopping 81%, average sale price
up by 14%, median by 15%.
Vacant land over
10 acres: average price up by 60% and a dollar volume by 132%!! Average
size of acreages sold in 2002 was 68.19 acres as compared to 25.57ac
in 2001. The price per acre rose by 38%, from $9,391 to $13,019 per
acre in 2002.
Overall: In all
297 properties changed hands on Salt Spring in 2002, up 6% from 2001
(280) and up from 211 in 2000.
Tabulated 6 year
summary available upon request - e-mailed in .pdf format (Acrobat
Reader), if interested, please request by e-mail from: Tom
Navratil
The market continues
to shift to favor Sellers, fewer choices and bargains for Buyers.
But there are still close to 200 listings available (February 12,
2003).
Patience, dilligence and a good Realtor can do a lot.
February
2002
Year 2001 was
busy on Salt Spring Island with sales volume substantially higher
than previous year. Year 2002 started like that already, busy January.
Though there are still lots of listings out there, the better ones
and well priced ones disappear rather quickly. More updating coming
up soon.
January
5, 2001
Year
2000 preliminary update. Another year is behind us and the preliminary
numbers show total sales reported in year 2000 on Salt Spring Island
were approx. 220 (subject to revision and adjustments), which would
be approx. 12% fewer than in 1999. Yet, the year seemed busier to
everyone than ever!
January
31, 2000 - The data are in and it is quite evident that the Real
Estate market on Salt Spring Island is indeed in the process of firming
up. Total sales on Salt Spring Island in 1999 were 251 properties
(homes, lots, acreages, farms, commercial, waterfronts).